Series
Statistics, Ground Truths and Heavenly Lies
5 essays by Abhinav Motheram, 2025–2026.
5 parts –
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Part 1
In Defense of Ann
Statistics, ground truths and heavenly lies after Ann Selzer’s final Iowa poll.
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Part 2
Turnout Tales: Delhi 2025 and the Politics of Disengagement
Turnout, urban disengagement and Delhi’s peripheral political shift on results morning.
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Part 3
In Dialogue with Hirschman
Voice, exit and loyalty amid platform controversy, USAID upheaval and self-censorship.
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Part 4
The Trump 2.0 Doctrine
A dispatch from the dying embers of the old order: tariffs, dollar power, stablecoins and system transition.
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Part 5
The Reckoning: Disruption, DeAlignment and the 2026 Midterms
Statistics, ground truths and heavenly lies, part five: a theory of political disruption, the great dealignment, and markers for November 3rd.